Monday, April 28, 2025

  • Treasury yields have fallen for four straight days, though ticking slightly higher today to 4.29%.

  • Bitcoin (via iBit ETF) is flat after seven straight up sessions, trading around $93,500.

  • Crude oil is flat around $63 a barrel; oil remains under pressure.

  • Gold is edging higher, trading just over $3,300 an ounce, showing strength.

  • XLE energy sector remains weak, still down after a 15% plunge in early April.

  • Trade tensions with China remain a market uncertainty; Treasury Secretary Scott Bessant says it's up to China to deescalate.

  • GDP data due Wednesday: expected Q1 growth of 0.2% (down sharply from 2.4% in Q4), raising concerns about an economic slowdown.

  • Jobs data ahead: JOLTS, ADP, and Friday’s April jobs report (expected 130,000 job growth vs. 228,000 in March).

Company Highlights:

  • Boeing is an early Dow leader; Jeffries and Bernstein raised price targets.

  • Nvidia is down about 1%, amid reports that Huawei is developing a competing AI chip.

  • Tesla rose nearly 10% Friday and is up another 1%, approaching its 200-day moving average (~$300).

  • Domino’s Pizza beat profit expectations but fell slightly due to weaker Q1 U.S. same-store sales; international sales grew 3.7%.

  • Progressive (PGR) upgraded to "buy" by Bank of America.

  • On Holding (O-N-O-N) upgraded to "buy" by Citigroup, but still in a downtrend.

  • Eli Lilly is down 1.5% after HSBC downgraded it to "reduce" on valuation concerns, despite strong performance following success with an obesity drug.

Upcoming Earnings:

  • Tuesday: Brinker (Chili's parent) and Spotify (on the verge of breakout).

  • Wednesday: GeneDx (WGS), Meta, Microsoft, Robinhood, Sprouts Farmers Market.

  • Thursday: Big tech—Amazon and Apple report earnings.

 

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