Apr 23 25

 

📈 Market Overview

• NASDAQ, S&P 500, and Dow Futures posted solid gains (+2% to +3%) on a follow-through rally day.

• Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) up 3%.

• Boosted by Treasury Secretary's comment on easing China trade tensions and Trump’s softer stance on tariffs.

---

📉 Bond & Commodity Markets

• 10-year Treasury yield dropped 10 bps to 4.29%, breaking below its 50-day moving average.

• Crude oil down 0.6% to $63.25/barrel.

• Gold fell 2% (gold miners also weak), now near $33.50/oz.

• Bitcoin surged past $90K, up 2.5% pre-market.

---

🧾 Key Stock Highlights

• Tesla: +7% pre-market. Earnings down 40%, revenue down 9%. Still below 50-day MA. Robo-taxi launch in June, energy storage revenue up 67%.

• Intuitive Surgical (ISRG): +5%. Beat Q1 estimates, raised full-year procedure growth guidance.

• Boston Scientific (BSX): +8%. Strong revenue growth, EPS guidance raised.

• Boeing: +7%. Revenue up 18%, seeking FAA production approval.

• Vertiv (VRT): +16%. Big rebound after AI sell-off, raised full-year guidance.

• AT&T: Flat after initially rising 2.5%. Subscriber growth beat estimates.

• Eli Lilly: +2%. Suing telehealth firms over Zepbound and Monjaro.

• Kava: +7%. Upgraded by Bernstein.

• Duolingo: +4.5%. Up again after Morgan Stanley overweight rating.

---

🔜 Earnings After the Close

• Chipotle, IBM, Lam Research, Newmont Mining, Penumbra, ServiceNow to report.

Apr-22-2025

 

Markets & Economy

• Stock Futures: Rebounding after yesterday’s dip.

  • NASDAQ 100 up ~1.2%

  • S&P 500, Dow, Russell 2000 all up ~1.1–1.2%

• 10-Year Treasury Yield: Down slightly after a recent rebound.

• U.S. Dollar: Slightly up after hitting a 3-year low.

• Bitcoin: Rising, trading more like gold or a dollar rival lately.

• IMF Cuts Growth Forecast:

  • U.S.: From 2.7% to 1.8%

  • Global: From 3.5% to 2.8%

---

Macroeconomic & Trade News

• Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index: Expected at -5 (vs. -4 in March).

• India–US Talks: Positive tone on trade; India still has high tariffs.

• US Tariffs: Imposing up to 3403% on Southeast Asian solar cells (suspected China involvement).

• Drug Pricing: Potential U.S. policy to tie drug prices to global rates.

---

Earnings Highlights

• Verizon: Beat EPS & revenue, but lost more subscribers than expected. Stock down.

• GE, Lockheed, RTX (Raytheon): Beat and reaffirmed; RTX down despite this.

• Northrop: Missed EPS, took B-21 bomber charge; cut outlook; stock tumbling.

• Hexcel: Missed and cut 2025 guidance.

• Boeing: Up on $10.55B sale of digital aviation business to Thoma Bravo.

• 3M: Beat, but warned tariffs may hurt future profits.

• Medpace, Kimberly Clark, Zion Bancorp: Mixed results, mostly down.

• Regeneron: Investing $3B to expand U.S. manufacturing.

• Apple: AI adoption better than expected (Morgan Stanley).

• Nvidia: Deutsche Bank cuts target to $125 from $135.

Morning Summary...

 APR-21-2025

NVIDIA: Slightly down due to reports of AI chip sales to China starting next month.

Tesla: Down 4%. Postponed cheaper Model Y launch in the U.S.; Barclays cut price target to $275 from $325.

Gold: Hit another record high, now trading over $3,400/oz, up 2.5%. US dollar weakening.

• Newmont Mining (NEM): Up 3%, reports earnings Wednesday.

10-Year Treasury Yield: Up 7 basis points, around 4.40%.

Crude Oil: Down 2.4%, now just over $63/barrel.

IBIT (Bitcoin ETF): Up 3%, approaching 50-day moving average.

Netflix: Up 2% pre-market. Strong Q1 earnings (+25%) and revenue (+13% to $10.5B). No subscriber numbers released. Focus shifting to advertising.

Capital One (COF) & Discover (DFS): Up 4% and 6% respectively after approval of Capital One’s $35.3B acquisition of Discover.

Amazon: Down 1.7% after a downgrade from Raymond James; now under its 200-day moving average.

Spotify: Up 1% after an upgrade by Wolf Research, citing potential in non-music initiatives.

WR Berkeley (WRB): Strong in property & casualty insurance; earnings expected soon.

Northrop Grumman (NOC): Reports Tuesday; showing accumulation signs.

Alphabet (GOOGL): Reports earnings Thursday.

Apr-16-2025

 Markets Overview (Morning Update)

• Stock Futures:

  • Nasdaq 100 down 1.8% (biggest drop)

  • S&P 500 down 1.1%, Dow slightly down, small caps down 0.6%

• 10-Year Treasury Yield: Up slightly to 4.34%

• Gold: Up 2.6% to $3,325/oz

• Oil: Up 1.5% to $62.25/barrel

---

Key Stock Movers

• NVIDIA: Down 6.5%+ after a $5.5B charge tied to U.S. export restrictions to China. This affects its H20 AI chips and revenue outlook.

• ASML: Down 5% after earnings; cited tariffs and uncertainty through next year.

• SMH ETF: Down 4.5%, tracking chip sector weakness.

• Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC): Down 4% ahead of earnings tomorrow.

---

Earnings Highlights

• United Airlines (UAL): Up 4% after earnings beat; strong premium and business class growth.

• Interactive Brokers (IBKR): Down 8% despite good metrics; earnings slightly missed expectations.

• Travelers: Up 2% after beating earnings and revenue expectations.

• Progressive (PGR): Also up 2% on earnings.

• Abbott Labs: Little movement; earnings beat, revenue in line; glucose monitor sales up 18%.

• Tesla: Down 2% due to concerns over component tariffs affecting Cybercab and Semi production timelines.

---

China Economic Data

• GDP: Grew 5.4% (above expectations)

• Retail Sales: Up 5.9%, Industrial Production: Up 7.7%

• Despite positive data, China stocks (FXI) are down nearly 2%

---

Upcoming Earnings to Watch

• Tomorrow: American Express, UnitedHealth Group, Taiwan Semiconductor

• Thursday After-Hours: Netflix

 Markets are rallying, with Nasdaq 100 futures up 2.2%, S&P 500 up 1.8%, and other indices showing strength. The 10-year Treasury yield is down to 4.43%, and crude oil rose 1.3% as OPEC cut demand forecasts. Gold is under slight pressure but continues to outperform.

The rally is fueled by the White House exempting key electronics from tariffs, boosting tech stocks. Apple is up 6.5%, Nvidia 3.5%, Best Buy 8%, and Intel 4% after announcing a $8.75B deal to sell 51% of Altera to Silver Lake.

Goldman Sachs is up 2% after strong earnings, while JP Morgan and Wells Fargo show modest gains. Pfizer remains flat but paused development of a weight-loss pill due to safety concerns. Viking Therapeutics surged 20% on the news.

Palantir jumped 8% after announcing a NATO contract, and Sprouts is showing early signs of a breakout.

Upcoming earnings: Bank of America and Citigroup (Tuesday), Travelers and Progressive (Wednesday), and major names like Netflix, UnitedHealth, and Taiwan Semiconductor report Thursday

Ants problem solved using less harmful Boric Acid powder.

Recently we had lot of ants in kitchen. They were look like sugar ants. They were every where. We tried many solution we found on internet.

We tried following solutions:

1. Pepper powder, Blocking ants pathways, Keeping surface squeaky clean, Cinamon, ..  All of these are good solution. No harm to human but may take several days to control it. And it might work if there are very fewer ants. .
2. We bought ant trap from local store. We tried few brands none of them worked. It may work sometime. But I do not recommend it. The chemical in these ant trap will end up in our food. Ants carry them to give it to queen might end up contaminating our food.  Do not use it.

Spent few months trying to control it natural way as possible and got tired of it.  Finally decided to call the professional pest control guy. He promised that he will take care of it.

3. Pest control guy sprayed some harsh chemical all around the house outside and inside he sprayed some chemical on baseboard.  This got rid of all fireants around the house and also did not see any ants on floor. But ants keep coming back. He came four times with several different type of ant baits and none of them worked and finally he (pest professional) gave up and said we can't solve our ant problem. I could not believe it. I will never recommend this guy.

Finally I decided to try it myself and wanted to use some thing less poisonous to human. So bought Boric Acid powder.  Added few tablespoon of sugar and one table spoon of Boric Acid into water. Then dipped cotton balls in that solutions and placed at ant trails.  Tons of ant came and attacked cotton balls and ate and died and looks they took it to queen. I have not seen ants since then.

Looks like Boric Acid is a good solution. I like this solution better because it is less toxic compared. It is not harmful to human if in case ant contaminate food.  Professionals use chemicals which are very harmful to human and ants may contaminate our food and we will end up eating it.  So avoid calling professionals try best possible natural way and save money and save earth from using bad chemicals which end up contaminating water.

HotStocks today

Upside : DLTR, SIG

Downside: PANW, DY, JACK

White wave

WWAV: Maker of plant based product. Reported good earnings. Q1 eps grew 38% and sales grew 37%. Chart looks good. Uptrend is intact. I am buying at 28 and buy more when it reaches 26 and sell it if it drops to 25.

BUY WFM - 11/12/13

BUY WFM at 59 and Sell if it drops below 57. Risk is only $2.  Stock is ready to go higher.

Chart

New short term trade..

BUY:  TCL (oversold).  CBST (66.54 .  Stop loss 60)  JCP(buy 10.4:  stop loss 9.50).

SHORT: JBL (at : 21   stop loss 23).

ASEI - reported good earnings but it is down. Wait to stableize and buy on up turn.

DVA - reported good earning on 2/10 and wait for pull back and go long.

BWLD and CMG - reported good earning. No slow down in growth.

AYE- short now. Drop in earning due to hedging.

Buy write.

Buy write did not work in this market.
It will work in normal condition.

Today day traded SPY bought at 87.73 and stopped out at 88.70. I put this since I have
to step out for a while. Then it ran up to 91.75. Too bad missed another huge gain.

Buy write and dividend.

It looks very attractive to buy a stock and write option for companies like FRO which pays
hefty dividend in the range of $2-$5.

If FRO trades at 60 and call option for strike price of $35 would be around $25 and it looks
like there is very little chance that the FRO would fall to 35 and you can collect dividend of $3
which is almost 10% of your cost for a month. Sounds very good and there is only 0.01% chance
that FRO will hit 35. This sounds too good to be true.

So what is the catch here?

If the dividend is cash the option price will not be adjusted. The dividend goes to the stock
holder and option holder will not get any dividend but the chances are the stock price will
trade lower by the amount of dividend. So why would the option holder will hold the option
and let you enjoy the dividend. So this what happens. On the ex-dividend date the stock
will be assigned to the option holder.

There is no free money here. Do not play this game for a company like FRO. But it will work
for companies which pays around 5% dividend.

OSIP, ACM, COG, SWN, CAG, SCS

Buy OSIP around 41 and stop loss at 37.
Buy ACM on pullback to 30.75 and stop loss at 29.5.
Buy COG at 65 and stop loss at 63
Buy SWN 46.5 and stop loss at 43.0

Short CAG at 20.30 and stop loss at 21.0
Short SCS at 10.25 and stop loss at 10.80

IHS, COHR

Buy IHS at 70.5 and stop loss at 65
ACM 33 stop loss at 30.5 or 30

Short COHR at 30.5 and stop loss at 32.00
short mil 69 and stop loss at 70.5
short cwt at around 33-32 wait couple of days and stop loss at 34

PBR, RAH

PBR buy at 68.50. Stop loss at 66.00
SLAB buy at 38.2. stop loss at 36.00
JLB buy at 16.6 stop loss at 15.00

BMRN

Short BMRN at 30.00 and stop loss 32.00
Short FDX at 80 stop loss 83.00

Buy pwr 34: stop loss at 32.50
Buy cmed 43: stop loss at 39.00
Buy

ACS

Buy ACS 56.5 and stop loss at 54.


Short:
IVGN at 38.25 and put stop loss at 40.05.
CYN at 43.0 and put stop loss at 46.00.

NT, XME...

Buy NT at 8.6 and stop loss at 7.6.
Buy XME at 89.5 and stop loss at 86.5.

Short MCHP at 31.30 and stop loss at 32.50.
Short HRS at 55.65 and stop loss at 58.00.

HAS

HAS - toy company has good earnings/growth. Buy it around 37 and stop loss at 34.