Friday, June 27, 2025

Jun 27 2025

 

๐Ÿงพ Macro Data Highlights (PCE Inflation Report – May):

  • Personal Income: ↓ 0.4% (vs. +0.3% expected)

  • Personal Spending: ↓ 0.1% (vs. +0.2% expected)

  • Headline PCE Inflation:

    • +0.1% MoM, +2.1% YoY (better than expected 2.3%) ✅

  • Core PCE Inflation:

    • +0.2% MoM (vs. +0.1% expected)

    • +2.7% YoY (vs. 2.6% expected) ❗

๐Ÿ”Ž Mixed report: Headline PCE was cooler, but core inflation came in slightly hot.


๐Ÿ’ต Market & Asset Reaction:

  • 10-Year Treasury Yield: Holding at ~4.27% (well off recent highs of 4.6%+)

  • Rate Cut Outlook: Markets still pricing two Fed rate cuts by year-end.

  • Gold & Silver:

    • GLD (Gold ETF): ↓ 2.3%

    • SLV (Silver ETF): ↓ 2.3%


๐Ÿ“ˆ Company Earnings & Stock Moves

  1. Nike (NKE):

    • ๐Ÿ“ˆ +11% post-earnings

    • EPS: $0.14/share (down significantly)

    • Revenue: ↓ 12% (but slightly beat estimates)

    • Margins: ↓ 4.4 percentage points

    • ⚠ Facing $1B in tariff-related costs, 16% of footwear made in China

    • ๐Ÿ’ฌ New CEO: “We are in a fight in every sport we’re in.”

    • ✅ Strong early sales for “Bone Marrow 18” running shoe ($100M+)

  2. Apogee Enterprises (APOG):

    • Reported $0.56 EPS, $346M revenue

    • ๐Ÿ“‰ Stock weak despite earlier pre-market strength

    • Relative Strength Rating: 8 (very low)

  3. Concentrix (CNXC):

    • ๐Ÿ“‰ Down ~7% after hours

    • Sales up slightly, but flat earnings

    • Weak growth outlook

  4. Core Scientific (CORZ):

    • ๐Ÿš€ Up sharply on acquisition rumors by CoreWeave (CRWV)

    • WSJ reports merger talks are underway

  5. Pony.ai:

    • ๐Ÿง  Robo-taxi company with U.S. unit

    • Reports suggest Travis Kalanick-led group may fund acquisition of its U.S. assets

    • Uber possibly involved in funding — Uber stock ↓ 1.3%


๐Ÿ”„ Market Sentiment

  • NASDAQ 100 (QQQ): Heading into a 5th straight up day

  • Tone: Mixed fundamentals but strong technical setup

  • Analysts see strength in the index-level “cup with handle” breakout pattern, suggesting potential for continued rally despite bearish sentiment in headlines.

Wednesday, June 25, 2025

Jun 25 25

 ๐Ÿ“ˆ Morning Market Recap Summary (8:27 – 8:33 a.m.)

๐Ÿช™ Commodities & ETFs

  • Gold: Flat around $2,333/oz; GLD gapped down Tuesday, testing its 50-day moving average.

  • IBIT (Bitcoin ETF): Up 2% pre-market after testing 50-day on Monday, following Bitcoin higher.

๐Ÿ  Economic Data

  • May new home sales data due at 10 a.m. ET.

๐Ÿ’ผ Earnings Movers

  • AeroVironment (AVAV): Earnings +247% YoY, revenue +40%. Despite soft full-year guidance, stock gapping up—possibly due to drone contracts (Israel, Ukraine).

  • Worthington Enterprises (WOR): Up nearly 20% pre-market after earnings/revenue beat.

  • Paychex (PAYX): Down ~3% after slightly missing revenue; near 200-day MA.

  • FedEx (FDX): Down 5% despite EPS/revenue beat; weak guidance overshadows $4B in cost cuts.

  • Rubrik (RBRK): Up 1% after announcing plans to acquire AI model deployment firm (possible $500M deal).

  • Yum! Brands (YUM): Up 1.5% on JPMorgan upgrade (cites strong free cash flow).

  • Coinbase (COIN): Up 5% after Bernstein raises PT from $310 → $510.

  • Robinhood & Futu (HOOD, FUTU): Both trading up sharply; FUTU up 6%, possibly breaking out with no obvious news.

๐Ÿ’ป Upcoming

  • Micron (MU) reports earnings after the close. Stock and SMH (semis ETF) broke out Tuesday.

๐Ÿ“Š Market Sentiment

  • NASDAQ crosses 20,000.

  • Rally leaders: Netflix, Nvidia, Microsoft, Meta, Palantir, Spotify.

  • Trader focus shifting to newer ideas like OLLI (Ollie’s), PLNT (Planet Fitness).

  • Notable short: Lilly (LLY).

Tuesday, June 24, 2025

Jun 24 2025


๐ŸŒ Macro Headlines:

  • Middle East Ceasefire: Declared by Trump (Iran–Israel); still some missile activity post-announcement.

  • Market Reaction: Optimistic.

    • S&P Futures: +0.8%

    • Dow Futures: +0.8% (above 200-DMA)

    • 10-Year Treasury Yield: 4.36% (+4 bps)

    • Crude Oil: Down sharply (–8% yesterday, –5% pre-market)

    • Gold & Silver: Down 2%

    • Natural Gas: $3.61/MMBtu, –2%


๐Ÿšข Cruise Stocks Rallying:

  • Carnival (CCL): +5% pre-market (expected EPS: $0.24, up from $0.11 YoY; revs $6.21B)

  • Royal Caribbean (RCL): +2%

  • Norwegian (NCLH): +3%

  • Viking: +1.2%
    Drop in oil = tailwind for cruise lines.


✈️ Airlines Up:

  • United (UAL): +3.6%

  • American (AAL): +3%

  • Alaska Air (ALK): +2%


๐Ÿ’ก Stock-Specific News:

  • Chewy (CHWY): –1.5% on $1B share offering.

  • EQT: Highlighted in Barron’s Energy Insider.

  • Snowflake (SNOW): +2% after Morgan Stanley upgrade (Overweight).

  • AMD: Price target raised to $175 (from $110) by Melius; MI350 chips could add $20B in GPU sales by 2028.


๐Ÿ“Š Technical Outlook:

  • S&P 500 forming a cup-with-handle pattern.

  • Watch 5367.8 as key resistance level.

  • SPY: +0.7%, lower RS than QQQ.

  • IWM (Russell 2000): Still lagging, but also rising.

 

Monday, June 23, 2025

Market Overview:

  • Futures: Mixed and mostly unchanged; small caps slightly down (~0.3%).

  • Oil: Initially up over the weekend, now down 0.5% at ~$73.50/barrel.

  • 10-Year Treasury Yield: Down 3 basis points to ~4.35%.


Geopolitical Tension:

  • U.S. bombed 3 Iranian nuclear sites using bunker-busters and Tomahawks.

  • Iran's Parliament approved closing the Strait of Hormuz, a vital global oil route, but it still needs higher approval.


Notable Stock Movers:

  • Chevron: Leading gains in the Dow.

  • NVIDIA: Lagging slightly.

  • Apple: Slight uptick amid internal talks of bidding for Perplexity AI; Meta also reportedly interested.

  • Tesla: +1.5% pre-market after Robotaxi launch in Austin for $4.20/ride.

  • Hims & Hers: -20% after Novo Nordisk terminated partnership, accusing it of selling knockoffs of Wegovy.

  • Novo Nordisk (NVO): -5% after disappointing trial results for new obesity drug.

  • Exelixis (EXEL): +20% on positive Phase 3 colorectal cancer drug results.

  • Cidara Therapeutics (CDTX): +100% on successful Phase 2 flu treatment data.

  • Northern Trust (NTRS): +6% after BNY Mellon approached about merger (reportedly declined).

  • Fiserv (FI): +6% on news of launching a stablecoin and digital asset platform, partnered with Circle and PayPal.

  • DoorDash (DASH): +2.5% after Raymond James price target raised from $215 to $260.

  • AMD: +2% after Melius Research raised price target to $175 from $110.

  • Supermicro (SMCI): -3% after announcing a $2B debt offering.

  • Estee Lauder (EL): +2% following Deutsche Bank upgrade to Buy.


Earnings to Watch:

  • Tuesday (Pre-Market): Carnival (CCL)

  • Tuesday (After Close): AeroVironment (AVAV) – key drone supplier to Ukraine & Israel

  • Wednesday (After Close): Micron (MU) – stock has rallied in anticipation

 

Friday, June 20, 2025

Jun 20 2025

 

Market Status

  • NASDAQ 100 (QQQ): Off to a good start.

  • S&P 500 (SPY): Futures indicate a 0.4% rise.

  • Treasury Yield: At 4.42%.

  • Silver: Pulling back, down over 2%.

  • Crude Oil: Around $73.26/barrel, slightly down.

๐Ÿงพ Economic Data

  • Philly Fed Manufacturing Index: Came in at -4.0 vs. expected -1.0, indicating weaker regional activity.

๐Ÿ’ผ Earnings Reports

  • CarMax (KMX):

    • EPS: $1.38 (beat estimates by $0.17)

    • Revenue: $7.55B

    • Units Bought: 336,000 vehicles (+7%)

  • Darden Restaurants (DRI):

    • EPS: $2.58 (down YoY)

    • Revenue: $3.3B (+10%)

    • Longhorn Sales: +6.7%

    • Buyback Plan: $1B

    • Dividend Raised

  • Accenture (ACN): Stock down 7% pre-market due to 6% drop in bookings.

Monday, June 16, 2025

Jun 17 2025

 

Market & Economic Update Summary – June 17, 2025

  • Market Movement:

    • After Friday’s 1.1% drop in the S&P 500, markets are rebounding.

    • Small-cap stocks are leading, up ~0.9%. Broader market up ~0.6–0.7%.

  • Geopolitical Tensions:

    • Ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran.

    • Israel expanded strikes to Iranian energy infrastructure and Houthi militia leaders in Yemen.

    • Despite this, oil prices fell 2% to ~$75/barrel.

  • Sectors & Stocks:

    • Energy (XLE): Up 5.6% last week, testing the 200-day moving average.

    • Gold: Slightly down, ~$3,400/oz.

    • Cisco Systems: Up 2% after an upgrade by Deutsche Bank.

    • U.S. Steel: Up 5% after Trump approved its merger with Nippon Steel.

    • Tesla: Up 2%, launching robo-taxi service in Austin June 22.

    • Celsius: Up 5%, upgraded by TD Cowen.

    • Shopify: Rebounding after legal pressure and last week’s weak performance.

    • AMD: Up 2.5% after price target raised by Piper Sandler.

    • Circle (CRCL): Stablecoin issuer’s IPO surges 10%.

  • Global & Economic Data:

    • China: May retail sales rose 6.4% YoY, beating expectations.

    • Fed Meeting This Week: No rate changes expected. Market unsure whether 1–2 cuts are coming later in 2025.

    • Upcoming Data:

      • U.S. May retail sales on Tuesday

      • Jobless claims Wednesday (early due to Juneteenth holiday Thursday

  • Earnings Preview:

    • Quiet week.

    • Jabil (JBL) reports Tuesday; notable in AI hardware manufacturing.

    • Darden Restaurants (Olive Garden’s parent) to report later in the week.

Friday, June 13, 2025

June 13 2025

 

Main Market News & Headlines

  • Markets Dropped overnight:

    • Nasdaq QQQ futures fell as much as 2.1%, now down about 1.2%.

    • S&P 500 and Dow futures also down ~0.9–1.2%.

  • Cause: A surprise Israeli attack on multiple Iranian nuclear and military sites.

    • The strike aimed to neutralize Iran's nuclear capabilities.

    • According to the Wall Street Journal, Israel has planned 14 days of ongoing operations.

Sector & Asset Impact
  • Oil spiked overnight:

    • Crude oil futures hit $77.62, up 14% intraday.

    • OIH (oil services ETF) up 4%; XLE (energy ETF) up nearly 3%.

  • Defense stocks like Northrop Grumman (NOC) rose ~2%.

  • Airlines dropped:

    • UAL, AAL, DAL were down on flight cancellations to the Middle East.

  • Bitcoin fell to ~$100,400, down 1.8%.

  • Gold surged 1.8% to $3,464/oz.

  • Natural gas and silver also rose slightly.


Other Notable Business News

  • Adobe earnings:

    • Beat by $0.08 per share.

    • Revenue guidance above expectations; stock down ~4–5% in premarket.

  • Chime Financial (CHYM) IPO:

    • Priced at $27, peaked at $44.94 on day one—up 66%.

    • $1.8B in recent sales; profitable 2 of the last 4 quarters.

  • Circle (CRCL) also recently IPO'd, still in post-IPO range.

  • AMD Investor Day:

    • Announced new AI chips (MI400).

    • Confirmed collaboration with OpenAI.


Wednesday, June 11, 2025

Jun 11 2025

 

๐Ÿ“Š Market Overview

  • Markets are surprisingly strong after a recent reversal.

  • S&P futures up 0.2%, NASDAQ/Dow up 0.3%.

  • Russell 2000 (IWM) approaching key resistance.

  • 10-year Treasury yield down to 4.43% from 4.47%.

๐Ÿงพ Economic Data

  • CPI: +0.1% MoM, +2.4% YoY — below expectations, showing tame inflation.

  • Core CPI also +0.1%, holding steady at 2.8% YoY.

  • PPI due Thursday, key for gauging Fed rate cut potential — market pricing in rate cuts later this year.


๐Ÿš— Company Highlights

  • Shopify (SHOP) under watch.

  • Gold (GLD): Bull put spread strategy discussed.

  • Oracle earnings expected after market close.


๐Ÿš˜ Tesla

  • Robotaxi service launch rescheduled to June 22.

  • Musk: First ride from Austin factory on June 28.

  • Musk also apologized for recent controversial posts.


๐Ÿ’ผ Stock Movers

  • OUST: Up on DoD approval of digital LiDAR for drones.

  • Lockheed Martin: Down due to Air Force F-35 program uncertainty.

  • GitLab: Beat earnings, weak guidance → stock down.

  • Robinhood: Trading & crypto volume sharply higher YoY.

  • Dave & Buster’s: Missed earnings, but CEO optimistic.

  • Nintendo (Switch 2): 3.5M units sold in 4 days.

  • GameStop: Beat EPS, missed on revenue → stock falling.

  • I-R-E-N, Etsy, BTSG: Down on debt/share sale announcements.

  • Chewy: Guided up but stock movement mixed.

  • SailPoint: Beat earnings, guided up → stock rising

Tuesday, June 10, 2025

Jun 10 2025 Market Summary

 

๐Ÿ“Š Markets Overview

  • Small caps (IWM) outperforming; testing the 200-day moving average, up 0.5%

  • Nasdaq-100 (QQQ): +0.2%

  • S&P 500 (SPY) and Dow Jones: +0.1%

  • Oil: ~$65.50/barrel

  • Gold: ~$2,360/oz

  • 10-year Treasury yield: ~4.45% (down 3 basis points)

๐Ÿฆ Fed & Economic Outlook

  • Fed meeting next week: No rate change expected

  • Market expects 2 rate cuts, possibly starting in September

  • NFIB Small Business Optimism Index: Better than expected at 98.8


๐Ÿ” Stock Highlights

  • Advanced Micro Devices (AMD): Under watch for potential turnaround

  • Amer Sports (AS)

  • IREN +2.5%, CORZ +3%


๐Ÿ“ˆ Individual Stocks

  • JP Morgan (JPM): Flat, despite a price target hike to $320 (Wells Fargo)

  • Disney (DIS): Slight gain; completes Hulu purchase; price target raised to $130 (Loop Capital)

  • McDonald’s (MCD): Down 1.5%; downgraded to Sell by Redburn Atlantic, PT cut to $260

  • Apple (AAPL): Flat after WWDC; minor AI updates seen as underwhelming

  • Tesla (TSLA): +2.5%, continuing Monday’s rebound; robo-taxi launch expected this week

  • Taiwan Semi (TSMC): Strong May revenue (+39.6% YoY); Jan–May up 42.6%

  • Meta (META): +1%; Zuckerberg reportedly building a team of 50 for Artificial General Intelligence (AGI)

  • Uber (UBER): +1%; teams up with Wavy to roll out autonomous rides in the UK

  • eToro: Releases unexpected earnings; adjusted EBITDA down, but funded accounts +14%, assets +21%

  • Casey’s General Stores (CASY): +10% on strong earnings & revenue beat

  • Insmed (INSM): +25% on positive Phase 2B data for inhaled drug treating pulmonary arterial hypertension

  • JM Smucker (SJM): -7.5% after weak guidance and revenue miss

  • Rubrik (RBRK): -4% after debt offering; falls below 21-day moving average

Monday, June 09, 2025

Jun 9 2025

๐Ÿ“ˆ Market Overview

  • Russell 2000 (small caps) is outperforming, up 0.8%.

  • Broader market is flat to slightly higher.

  • 10-year Treasury yield steady at 4.51% after Friday's spike.

  • Oil up 0.7%, around $65/barrel.

  • Gold slightly down, just below $33.50/oz (likely an error—actual gold is near $2,300).

  • Bitcoin and IBIT ETF up 3%, showing potential breakout above $60 and 10-day moving average.


๐Ÿง  Stocks in Focus

๐Ÿ”ผ Up in Pre-Market

  • Rocket Lab (RKLB): +5%, possibly benefiting from uncertainty around SpaceX due to Trump-Musk spat.

  • IBIT ETF: +3%, rallying with Bitcoin.

  • Circle (CRCL): Stablecoin issuer, +17%, third strong day after IPO.

  • Merck (MRK): +1%, positive Phase III trial for cholesterol drug.

  • WBD (Warner Bros Discovery): +7%, plans to split into two publicly traded companies.

  • Etoro (ETOR): +3%, Goldman Sachs initiates with a buy and $76 price target.

  • Walmart (WMT): Edging higher, named top consumer internet pick by Mizuho (target: $115).

๐Ÿ”ฝ Down in Pre-Market

  • McDonald’s (MCD): -1%, downgraded by Morgan Stanley.

  • Echostar (SATS): -10%, considering Chapter 11 bankruptcy (owns Dish, Boost, Sling TV).

  • Tesla (TSLA): Under pressure, down after a 15% drop last week, downgraded by Baird; concerns over robo-taxi optimism and political tensions.

  • Robinhood (HOOD): -3%, fell after not being added to the S&P 500.

  • Applovin (APP): -3.5%, also not added to S&P 500 as rumored.


๐Ÿ“† Upcoming Events

  • CPI data: Wednesday

  • Wholesale prices (PPI): Thursday

  • Consumer Sentiment & inflation expectations: Friday (University of Michigan)


๐Ÿงพ Key Earnings This Week

  • Tuesday (pre-market): Core & Main (pipe and valve supplier)

  • Wednesday (early): Chewy (CHWY) – breakout stock

  • Wednesday (late): Oracle – rallying with AI stocks

  • Thursday: Adobe (ADBE) – in a recent downtrend

 

Thursday, June 05, 2025

Jun 05


๐Ÿ“ˆ Market Overview

  • Indexes Up Modestly:

    • S&P 500 (SPY): +0.3%

    • Dow: +0.2%

    • Nasdaq (QQQ): +0.3%

    • Russell 2000 (IWM): +0.1%

  • 10-Year Treasury Yield: Flat at 4.36%

  • Commodities:

    • Crude oil: +1%

    • Gold: Slightly up

    • Silver: Up strongly

    • Copper: Rising, near resistance


๐Ÿงพ Economic Data

  • Jobless Claims:

    • Initial: 247K (vs. 235K est.)

    • Previous: 239K
      → Continuing claims little changed

  • Challenger Job Cuts:

    • Down 12% vs. April

    • Up 47% YoY

    • YTD layoffs: 284K (includes govt & contractors)

  • JOLTS Preview (Friday):

    • Expected: 129K vs. April’s 177K

    • Jobless rate to remain at 4.2%

  • Trade Deficit:

    • Dropped to $61.6B (vs. $118.1B est.; previous $138.3B)

    • Imports from China lowest since March 2020

  • Productivity (Q1 Revised):

    • Down 1.5% (was -0.8%)

    • Unit labor costs up 6.6% (vs. 5.7% est.)

  • ECB Cut Rates:

    • By 25 bps to 2.0% as expected

  • Geopolitics:

    • Trump–Xi call helped boost futures (positive tone reported)

    • EU–US trade talks reportedly going well


๐Ÿข Corporate Highlights

  • Argan (AGX):

    • EPS beat by 176%, revenue up 23% → stock surged

    • CFO stepping down for personal reasons

  • Costco (COST):

    • Core comps +6%, U.S. +5.5%, e-commerce +11.6%

    • Growth slowed from April

  • Descartes Systems (DSGX):

    • Missed EPS & revenue → stock plunging

  • Shift4 Payments (FOUR):

    • CEO Jared Isaacman stepping down (was once Trump’s NASA pick)

    • Taylor Lauber named successor

  • Robinhood (HOOD):

    • May activity:

      • Equity volume +10%

      • Options +5%

      • Crypto +30%

  • TradeWeb:

    • Daily volume +33% YoY

  • Foxconn:

    • May revenue +11.9% YoY

  • Circle (CRCL):

    • Raised $1.1B by selling shares at $31 each

  • Ciena (CIEN):

    • EPS miss, slight revenue beat → stock volatile

  • Winnebago (WGO):

    • Preliminary Q3 EPS & revenue well below expectations (after strong results from RevGroup & Thor)

  • Cracker Barrel (CBRL):

    • EPS beat, slight revenue miss → stock within buy zone

  • MongoDB (MDB):

    • Strong beat on EPS, 22% revenue growth

    • Raised FY EPS guidance

    • Announced $800M buyback (total now $1B)

  • Planet Labs (PL):

    • Breakeven, beat revenue → stock skyrocketing

  • CyberArk (CYBR):

    • Plans $750M convertible debt sale

  • SanDisk (via Western Digital):

    • 17M shares being sold

  • Suzuki:

    • Suspends subcompact production due to China rare earth export restrictions

  • Tesla (TSLA):

    • Offers $1,100 discount in China via referral program

    • More incentives amid concerns about demand and political tensions


๐Ÿงพ Analyst Actions & Earnings Tonight

  • CRM (Salesforce): Downgraded to Hold (ERST)

  • AVGO (Broadcom): Upgraded to Buy

    • Key earnings after close: AVGO, Rubrik (RBRK), DocuSign (DOCU), Lululemon (LULU), ServiceTitan (TTAN)

 

Wednesday, June 04, 2025

Jun 04

 

Top Headlines

  • Wells Fargo (WFC):
    Up 2%+ after the Fed removed asset growth restrictions from 2018. Stock may gap above $76.58.


Earnings Winners

  • Guidewire (GWRE):
    Up 14% on strong earnings and accelerating revenue. Gapped above $218.33 (alternate handle entry).

  • HP Enterprise (HPE):
    Up 6%, despite weak RS rating of 29. Earnings and revenue beat, guidance raised (in line).

  • HealthEquity (HQY):
    Up 5% after a cup-with-handle breakout. Earnings +21%, revenue +15% YoY.

  • Rev Group (REVG):
    RV maker, gapping up on earnings after pulling back to the 21-day moving average.

  • Thor Industries (THO):
    Also up on earnings, but not as strong as REVG.


Earnings Losers

  • CrowdStrike (CRWD):
    Down 7.5%. Earnings beat, but growth decelerated and revenue guidance slightly below. Could retest $451 buy point.

  • Asana (ASAN):
    Down 10% despite earnings/revenue beat. Mixed analyst reactions.

  • Constellation Energy (CEG):
    Down 3% after Citigroup downgrade. Stock had surged Tuesday on a 20-year nuclear deal with Meta, but deal is reportedly less lucrative than prior Microsoft one.

  • D-Wave Quantum (QBTS):
    Down 2.5% after $400M stock/debt offering.


Other Movers

  • Snowflake (SNOW):
    Up 2.5% after UBS and RBC upgrades, with price targets raised to $265 and $250, respectively.

  • XP Inc. (XP):
    Brazil-based fintech, up 2.5% on Goldman Sachs upgrade to “Buy” with $23 target.


Upcoming Earnings to Watch

  • After close today:

    • Argan (AGX): Heavy construction leader.

    • Five Below (FIVE): Retail stock has doubled recently.

  • Thursday after close:

    • Broadcom (AVGO), ServiceTitan (TTAN), Rubrik (RBRK), DocuSign (DOCU).

Tuesday, June 03, 2025

 

Market Overview (as of early morning)

  • Futures: Mixed — Dow and S&P slightly down; Nasdaq 100 turned slightly up.

  • Russell 2000 (IWM): Up ~0.5%.

  • 10-Year Treasury Yield: Fell from 4.46% to ~4.43%.

  • Gold: Down slightly after a large gain yesterday.

  • Crude Oil: Up ~1%.


Global & Macro

  • OECD cuts global growth forecast to 2.9% (from 3.3%); U.S. forecast to grow 1.6% (vs. 2.8%).

  • China's Caixin Manufacturing PMI fell to 48.3, lowest since Sept 2022.

  • JOLTS Report (10 a.m. ET): Job openings expected at 7.1M.


Major Stocks & News

  • Meta: Flat; signed 20-year nuclear power deal with Constellation Energy (CEG up ~12%).

  • Broadcom: Announced new data center chip; earnings later this week.

  • Snowflake: Buying AI startup Crunched Data.

  • Uber: Appointed COO for autonomous vehicle efforts.

  • RTX: Secured $1.1B Sidewinder missile contract.


Notable Movers

  • Ferguson (FERG): Beat EPS/revenue; gapping up.

  • Donaldson (DCI): Missed EPS, slight revenue beat; guiding higher.

  • Dollar General (DG): Beat both metrics; rising back into buy zone.

  • Ollie’s: Beat; volatile price action, now below 50-day line.

  • Signet (SIG): Beat; shares jumping.

  • Victoria’s Secret (VSCO): Delayed results due to IT issue; prelim numbers positive.

  • Hims & Hers: Buying European health platform Zava.

  • Applied Digital (APLD): Filed for shelf offering; stock spiked 48% yesterday.


Auto Sector

  • Ford: May sales +16%; hybrids up 29%, EVs down 25%.

  • NIO: Missed earnings, guided lower.

  • Tesla: Included in China’s rural EV campaign.


M&A & Strategic Moves

  • Viper Energy (VNOM) to acquire Sitio Royalties (SITR) for $4.1B in all-stock deal.

  • Skyward Insurance (SKWD): Launching aviation underwriting unit.


Upgrades/Downgrades

  • Pinterest: Upgraded at JPMorgan (PT to $40).

  • ASML: Downgraded at Barclays.

  • Netflix: PT raised to $1,400 at Jefferies.

  • Block (SQ): Upgraded at Evercore.

  • CrowdStrike: PT raised ahead of earnings after close.